Daily Markets

• The British pound held broadly steady on Thursday ahead of a rate decision from the Bank of England (BoE) later in the day, while the dollar was on the back foot as it awaited fresh market catalysts. Currencies were trading in tight ranges following a holiday in the United States and as investors looked not only to the BoE but also central bank decisions in Switzerland and Norway. The dollar slipped 0.05% against the yen to 157.99, though the Japanese currency remained not too far from an over one-month low of 158.255 per dollar hit last week. Against a basket of currencies, the greenback was little changed at 105.23, some distance away from last week's one-month top. The BoE is widely expected to keep rates steady on Thursday, and the focus will be on any guidance on how soon an easing cycle could begin. While data on Wednesday showed British inflation returned to its 2% target for the first time in nearly three years in May, details of the report pointed to persistent underlying price pressures - ruling out chances of an early rate cut. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is, however, expected to trim its key policy rate by 25 basis points for a second straight meeting, with recent strength in the Swiss franc and benign domestic inflation adding to the case for looser monetary conditions. The Swiss franc similarly held near a four-month high of 0.94785 per euro hit in the previous session, as the common currency continues to be pressured by political turmoil in France and the wider bloc. Data on Thursday showed New Zealand's economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter but remained soft. That did little to alter market views on the country's rate outlook.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Wednesday made its intraday high of US$2334.86/oz and low of $2323.65/oz. Gold is down by 0.0309% at US$2328.48/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On the daily charts, gold trades higher than 20DMA (2197). If it drops below this level, it could lead to 2,100. The MACD is currently above the zero line and the histograms are showing an increasing trend, indicating that there may be upward movement in the coming sessions. The RSI is currently at 83.04, which is in the overbought region, suggesting there may be selling pressure in the next 2 to 3 sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is also in the overbought territory but has given a positive crossover, indicating a bullish stance for intraday trades, but rebound in expected in all the overbought indicators.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 2331-2382 keeping stop loss closing above 2382, targeting 2309-2300-2290 and 2281-2270-2258. Buy in between 2321-2250 with risk below 2250 targeting 2320-2331-2350 and 2360-2374.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Wednesday made its intraday high of US$29.77/oz and low of US$29.32/oz settle up by 0.840% at US$29.76/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining above 20MA (25.05), breakage above will lead to 23.73. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are increasing trend, bringing a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is in the oversold region, indicating a sell signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 29.00-26.90, targeting 31.90-32.40 and 33.00-33.70-34.90 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 23.00. Sell in between 30.00-32.00 with a stop loss above 35.50 targeting 30.40-29.80-28.90 and 28.40-27.90-27.10.

Oil - WTI

Crude Oil on Wednesday made an intra‐day high of US$81.06/bbl, an intraday low of US$80.21/bbl, and settled down by 0.098% to close at US$80.52/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining above its 100DMA i.e. 75.37, a support level, and breakage above will call for 77.48. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought region, giving a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region, more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 81.00-83.29 with stop loss at 83.30; targeting 79.20-78.10-77.00 and 76.40-74.90-74.00. Buy above 80.20-75.00 with risk daily closing below 75.00, targeting 80.00-80.60-81.30 and 82.00-83.00-83.90.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Wednesday made an intraday low of US$1.0724/EUR, a high of US$1.0752/EUR, and settled the day up by 0.0065% to close at US$1.0739/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 100DMA (1.0800), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0717. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode, bringing a bullish view. Stochastic is in oversold territory, giving negative crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0785-1.1100, targeting 1.0700-1.0640-with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1100. Buy above 1.0690-1.0450 with risk below 1.0400 targeting 1.0845-1.0890 and 1.1020-1.1105-1.1145.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Wednesday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2692/GBP, a high of US$1.2739/GBP, and settled the day up by 0.066% to close at US$1.2715/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 50DMA (1.2674) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on an RSI basis. The Stochastic Oscillator is in oversold territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm a bullish stance. MACD is above the zero line, but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2700-1.2050 with a target of 1.2760-1.2830-1.2890 and 1.2950-1.2990 with a stop loss closing below 1.2050. Sell in between 1.2800-1.3100 with targets at 1.2760-1.2700-1.2670 and 1.2610-1.2500-1.2450 with a stop loss of 1.2950.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Wednesday made an intra‐day low of JPY157.59/USD an intraday high of 158.12/USD, and settled the day up by 0.152% at JPY158.06/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 100DMA (137.57), major support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and signaling to sell as it has given a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 158.00-159.00 with risk above 159.00 targeting 156.00-155.50-154.30 and 153.60-153.10-152.60. Long positions above 157.50-149.50 with targets of 156.90-157.50 and 158.00-158.60 with stops below 149.50.