Daily Markets

• The dollar traded on the back foot on Tuesday, as markets looked ahead to a week of U.S. economic data that will provide fresh signals on how soon the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates. Leading cryptocurrency bitcoin soared to a more than two-year high above $57,000, helped by enterprise software firm MicroStrategy Inc's announcement that it had bought about 3,000 more of the tokens The yen was firmer after consumer inflation data topped estimates, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of Japan is still on track to exit negative rates as soon as next month. Markets have all but ruled out a cut at the Fed's March meeting and have recently pushed back expectations for a cut to June from May, CME's FedWatch Tool showed, following strong U.S. consumer and producer price data. U.S. durable goods data is due later on Tuesday, while January's U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, will be released on Thursday. The dollar slipped 0.12% to 150.505 yen, with new figures showing consumer inflation stayed at the BOJ's 2% target in January, rather than dipping below it for the first time in nearly two years, as economists had predicted. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar added 0.1% to $0.65475 ahead of monthly consumer price data, due Wednesday. Markets are pricing in a one-in-three chance the RBNZ will raise its 5.5% official cash rate to combat stubborn inflation.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Tuesday made its intraday high of US$2036.97/oz and low of $2025.04/oz. Gold is down by 0.1475% at US$2031.00/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On the daily charts, gold trades higher than 20DMA (1953). If it drops below this level, it could lead to 1,927. The MACD is currently below the zero line but the histograms are showing an increasing trend, indicating that there may be upward movement in the coming sessions. The RSI is currently at 45.31, which is in the neutral region, suggesting there may be more selling pressure before it rebounds. The Stochastic Oscillator is also in the oversold territory but has given a positive crossover, indicating a bullish stance for intraday trades.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell in between 2036-2061 keeping stop loss closing above 2061, targeting 1985-1974-1965 and 1955-1948. Buy in between 2024-1950 with risk below 1950 targeting 2000-2020-2039 and 2050-2058-2064.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Monday made its intraday high of US$22.91/oz and low of US$22.43/oz settle down by 1.70% at US$22.50/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining below 200DMA (22.91), breakage above will lead to 23.51. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are decreasing trend, bringing a bearish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is approaching the oversold region, indicating a sell signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 22.75-19.30, targeting 23.50-24.60 and 25.00-25.90 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 19.00. Sell in between 23.30-27.50 with a stop loss above 27.50 targeting 22.40-21.90 and 21.50-20.90-20.50.

Oil - WTI

Crude Oil on Monday made an intra‐day high of US$77.84/bbl, an intraday low of US$75.71/bbl, and settled up by 1.402% to close at US77.42/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining above its 100DMA i.e. 75.37, a support level, and breakage above will call for 77.48. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought region, giving a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region, more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 77.50-81.00 with stop loss at 81.50; targeting 76.50-75.75-74.40 and 73.70-72.90-72.00. Buy above 75.75-71.00 with risk daily closing below 71.00; targeting 77.30-78.00-79.00 and 79.90-80.80.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Friday made an intraday low of US$1.0812/EUR, a high of US$1.0859/EUR, and settled the day up by 0.184% to close at US$1.0850/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 100DMA (1.0800), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0717. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode, bringing a bullish view. Stochastic is in oversold territory, giving negative crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0890-1.1100, targeting 1.0805-1.0775 and 1.0770-1.0640 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1100. Buy above 1.0805-1.0450 with risk below 1.0400 targeting 1.0890 and 1.1020-1.1105-1.1145.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Monday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2655/GBP, a high of US$1.2699/GBP, and settled the day up by 0.177% to close at US$1.2683/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 50DMA (1.2297) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on an RSI basis. The Stochastic Oscillator is in oversold territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm a bullish stance. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2670-1.2050 with a target of 1.2670-1.2730 and 1.2790-1.2850-1.2890 with a stop loss closing below 1.2050. Sell in between 1.2760-1.2950 with targets at 1.2690-1.2630-1.2540 and 1.2490-1.2440-1.2390 with a stop loss of 1.2950.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Monday made an intra‐day low of JPY150.28/USD an intraday high of 150.83/USD, and settled the day up by 0.160% at JPY150.68/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 100DMA (137.57), major support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and signaling to sell as it has given a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 150.60-153.50 with risk above 153.90 targeting 149.90-149.30-148.90 and 146.95-146.50-145.80. Long positions above 149.40-140.90 with targets of 150.50-151.30-151.90 and 152.30-153.90 with stops below 140.00.