Daily Markets

• -Oil prices eased on Thursday after data showed China's manufacturing activity shrank for the fifth month in a row, and as investors cautiously awaited a U.S. personal consumption expenditure report later in the day for any clues on the interest rate outlook. China's manufacturing activity again in August, an official factory survey showed on Thursday, fuelling concerns around weakness in the world's second-biggest economy. The official purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 49.7 from 49.3 in July, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, but remained below the 50-point level demarcating contraction from expansion. A tighter U.S. oil supply outlook supported prices in the previous session, but this was pitted against worries about demand, said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG. Investors are eyeing inflation numbers as measured by the U.S. personal consumption expenditures, which will be released on Thursday. The PCE is the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation. For now, oil prices are headed for a weekly climb, with U.S. government data showing tighter-than-expected crude supplies, while a military coup in Gabon, an OPEC member, also raised fears of crude oil supply disruptions. Analysts expect Saudi Arabia to roll over a voluntary oil cut of 1 million barrels per day for a third consecutive month into October, adding to the cuts in place by OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia. Meanwhile, the U.S. government revised down its gross domestic product growth to 2.1% last quarter, from the 2.4% pace reported last month, and data released on Wednesday showed private payroll growth slowed significantly in August. The Federal Reserve can end its interest rate increase cycle if the labour market and economic growth continue to slow at the current gradual pace, the former president of the Boston Fed said on Wednesday.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Thursday made its intraday high of US$1948.94/oz and low of $1914.29/oz. Gold is up by 0.065% at US$1937.18/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On the daily charts, gold is currently trading higher than 200DMA (1906). If it drops below this level, it could lead to 1,874. The MACD is currently below the zero line but the histograms are showing an increasing trend, indicating that there may be upward movement in the coming sessions. The RSI is currently at 45.31, which is in the neutral region, suggesting that there may be more selling pressure before it rebounds. The Stochastic Oscillator is also in the oversold territory but has given a positive crossover, indicating a bullish stance for intraday trades.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 1950-1985 keeping stop loss closing above 1985, targeting 1907-1890-1881 and 1870-1861. Buy in between 1940-1851 with risk below 1851 targeting 1946-1960-1976 and 1980-1990.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Wednesday made its intraday high of US$24.99/oz and low of US$24.51/oz settled down by 0.461% at US$24.59/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining below 200DMA (22.91), breakage above will lead to 23.51. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are decreasing trend, bringing a bearish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is approaching the oversold region, indicating a sell signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 24.00-19.30, targeting 24.60-25.00 and 25.90-26.30 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 18.00. Sell in between 24.50-27.50 with a stop loss above 27.50; targeting 24.00-23.40-22.90-22.05 and 21.60-21.00

Oil - WTI

Crude Ol on Tuesday made an intra‐day high of US$81.80/bbl, an intraday low of US80.66/bbl, and settled up by 0.567% to close at US81.46/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining above its 100DMA i.e. 75.37, a support level, and breakage above will call for 77.48. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought region, giving a negative crossover for confirmation of a bearish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region, more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 81.20-85.00 with stop loss at 85.00; targeting 79.90-78.90-78.10-and 77.10-76.40-75.5. Buy above 80.50-74.40 with risk daily closing below 74.40; targeting 81.20-81.90-83.40 and 84.50-85.20.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Wednesday made an intraday low of US$1.0854/EUR, a high of US$1.0944/EUR, and settled the day up by 0.399% to close at US$1.0922/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 100DMA (1.0800), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0717. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode, bringing a bullish view. Stochastic is in oversold territory, giving negative crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0870-1.1390, targeting 1.0790-1.0750-1.0660 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1390. Buy above 1.0890-1.0705 with risk below 1.0725 targeting 1.0940-1.1060-1.1150 and 1.1210-1.1250-1.1290.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Wednesday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2617/GBP, a high of US$1.2745/GBP, and settled the day up by 0.222% to close at US$1.2719/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 200DMA (1.2112) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on RSI basis. The Stochastic Oscillator is in oversold territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm bullish a stance. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2600-1.2300 with a target of 1.2600-1.2650-1.2800 and 1.2855-1.2900-1.2990 with a stop loss closing below 1.2400. Sell in between 1.2650-1.3200 with targets at 1.2520-1.2480-1.2450 and 1.2390-1.2300 with a stop loss of 1.3140.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Wednesday made an intra‐day low of JPY145.55/USD, an intraday high of JPY146.53/USD, and settled the day up by 0.245% at JPY146.22/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 100DMA (137.57), which is major support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and signaling to sell as it has given a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 147.00-150.10 with risk above 150.20 targeting 145.20-144.00-143.60 and 143.00-142.20-141.00. Long positions above 146.20-139.90 with targets of 147.10-148.00 and 148.80-149.50-150.10 with stops below 134.00.