Daily Markets

• Oil edged lower on Tuesday as the market waited to see if Iraqi oil exports resume, which could ease the supply tightness caused by the OPEC+ cut, while a faltering Chinese economy continued to undercut the global demand outlook. Iraq's oil minister Hayan Abdel-Ghani arrived in the Turkish capital Ankara to discuss several issues including the resumption of oil exports through the Ceyhan oil terminal, a source in the minister's office told Reuters on Monday. Turkey halted Iraq's 450,000 barrels per day (bpd) of exports through the northern Iraq-Turkey pipeline on March 25 after an arbitration ruling by the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC). More Iraqi crude oil coming on to the market could help alleviate the supply crunch for sour crude as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and the allies (OPEC+) prolonged and deepened production cuts. Meanwhile, gloom over the economic outlook in China, the world's second biggest oil consumer, continued to pressure oil prices and heighten worries about fuel demand. China's central bank on Monday cut its one-year lending rate only moderately to the disappointment of the market which had expected more aggressive stimulus steps amid a rapid loss in economic momentum. J.P.Morgan analysts estimated that global demand growth for mobility fuels decelerated to 0.6 mbd year-on-year for the reference week ending August 12. Year-to-date, with China's base effect now out of the numbers, growth in demand for mobility fuels slipped to 1.6 mbd compared to the same period last year, they said. Putting a floor to oil prices, U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories were expected to have fallen last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed, as the American Petroleum Institute industry group is due to release data later on Tuesday. The EIA the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, is due to release its own data on Wednesday. The market is also focusing on preliminary U.S. August PMI data and the Federal Reserve's annual economic symposium at Jackson Hole both due later this week. U.S. economic data over recent weeks has bolstered expectations for the Fed to keep rates higher for longer, putting a dampener on the demand outlook for oil and a broad range of consumer goods.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Monday made its intraday high of US$1898.65/oz and low of $1884.70/oz. Gold is up by 0.274% at US$1894.46/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On the daily charts, gold is currently trading higher than 200DMA (1906). If it drops below this level, it could lead to 1,874. The MACD is currently below the zero line but the histograms are showing an increasing trend, indicating that there may be upward movement in the coming sessions. The RSI is currently at 45.31, which is in the neutral region, suggesting that there may be more selling pressure before it rebounds. The Stochastic Oscillator is also in the oversold territory but has given a positive crossover, indicating a bullish stance for intraday trades.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 1900-1985 keeping stop loss closing above 1985, targeting 1920-1928-1943 and 1954-1944-1934. Buy in between 1881-1,851 with risk below 1851 targeting 1900-1909-1920-and 1946-1960-1976.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Monday made its intraday high of US$23.30/oz and low of US$22.65/oz settled up by 0.352% at US$23.29/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining below 200DMA (22.91), breakage above will lead to 23.51. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are decreasing trend, bringing a bearish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is approaching the oversold region, indicating a sell signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 22.00-18.30, targeting 22.90-23.40-24.10 and 25.00-25.90-26.30 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 18.00. Sell in between 22.90-27.50 with a stop loss above 27.50; targeting 22.05-21.60-21.00

Oil - WTI

Crude Ol on Monday made an intra‐day high of US$81.67/bbl, an intraday low of US79.91/bbl, and settled down by 0.574% to close at US80.15/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining above its 100DMA i.e. 75.37, a support level, and breakage above will call for 77.48. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought region, giving a negative crossover for confirmation of a bearish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region, more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 80.00-85.00 with stop loss at 85.00; targeting 78.90 and 78.00-77.10-76.00. Buy above 79.00-77.40 with risk daily closing below 77.40; targeting 79.90-80.50-81.20 and 81.90-83.40 and 84.00-85.00.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Monday made an intraday low of US$1.0863/EUR, a high of US$1.0913/EUR, and settled the day up by 0.274% to close at US$1.0894/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 100DMA (1.0800), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0717. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode, bringing a bullish view. Stochastic is in oversold territory, giving negative crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0940-1.1390, targeting 1.0905-1.0840 and 1.0790-1.0750-1.0660 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1390. Buy above 1.0890-1.0705 with risk below 1.0725 targeting 1.0940-1.1060-1.1150 and 1.1210-1.1250-1.1290.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Monday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2709/GBP, a high of US$1.2764/GBP, and settled the day down by 0.084% to close at US$1.2745/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 200DMA (1.2112) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on RSI bases. The Stochastic Oscillator is in oversold territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm bullish a stance. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2700-1.2400 with a target of 1.2800-1.2855-1.2900 and 1.2990-1.3050-1.3140 with a stop loss closing below 1.2400. Sell in between 1.2750-1.3200 with targets at 1.2700-1.2650-1.2590 and 1.2520-1.2450 with a stop loss should be 1.3140.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Monday made an intra‐day low of JPY145.14/USD, an intraday high of JPY146.39/USD, and settled the day down by 0.295% at JPY146.20/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 100DMA (137.57), which is major support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and signaling to sell as it has given a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 146.00-148.00 with risk above 148.00 targeting 145.20-144.00-143.60 and 143.00-142.20-141.00. Long positions above 145.20-139.90 with targets of 146.00-147.10-148.00 and 148.80-149.50-150.10 with stops below 134.00.