Daily Markets

• Oil prices fell on Friday, set for their fourth weekly decline, as renewed economic concerns in the United States and China revived anxieties about fuel demand growth in the world's two largest oil consumers. With talks over the U.S. government's debt ceiling stalled and renewed fears that another regional bank is in crisis, there is mounting concern that the U.S. will enter a recession. A decline in new loans to businesses in China and weaker economic data there earlier in the week refocused doubts about its recovery from COVID restrictions driving oil demand growth. Additionally, cooler inflation data from both countries suggested consumer demand was weak, said Tina Teng, a market analyst at CMC Markets in Auckland. Price rose earlier on Friday, after falling for the previous two sessions, on some demand expectations following comments from the U.S. energy secretary that the U.S. could repurchase oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) once some sales finish in June. The U.S. government has said it will buy oil when prices are consistently at or below $67 to $72 per barrel. However, the talks to raise the $31.4 trillion U.S. federal debt limit may not reach an agreement in time to prevent a government debt default, which could cause severe market dislocations. And, shares of U.S. regional bank PacWest Bancorp plunged 23% on Thursday after it said its deposits declined and it had posted more collateral to the U.S. Federal Reserve to boost its liquidity. China's April consumer price data rose at a slower pace and missed expectations, while factory gate deflation deepened, suggesting more stimulus may be needed. The oil market largely ignored the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) global oil demand forecast for 2023, which projected demand in China, the world's biggest oil importer, would increase.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Thursday made it’s intraday high of US$2041.05/oz and low of $2011.01/oz. Gold is down by 0.746% at US$2014.83/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, prices are above 200DMA (1809) and breakage below will call for 1790. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are a2lso increasing trend and it will bring an upward stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is in the overbought region and more upside is expected before it gets stretched. The Stochastic Oscillator is in neutral territory and giving a negative crossover to a bearish stance for intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 2020-2080 keeping stop loss closing above 2080, targeting 2039-2020-2009 and 1990-1981-1969. Buy in between 2,000-1,966 with risk below 1,966 targeting 2020-2039-2,050-and 2,058-2,069-2,080.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Thursday made its intraday high of US$25.46/oz and low of US$24.12/oz settled down by 4.66% at US$24.17/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining below 100DMA (21.00), breakage above will lead to 21.60. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are decreasing trend and it will bring a bearish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is approaching the neutral region, indicating a buy signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 24.00-18.30, targeting 25.00-25.90-26.30 and 26.90-27.50 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 18.00. Sell in between 25.00-27.50 with a stop loss above 27.50; targeting 25.00-24.60-23.60-23.00 and 22.05-21.60-21.00.

Oil - WTI

Crude Ol on Wednesday made an intra‐day high of US$73.79/bbl, an intraday low of US$71.76/bbl, and settled down by 0.953% to close at US$72.73/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining below its 200DMA i.e. 68.50 which is a support level and breakage below will call for 68.40. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral region, giving a positive crossover for confirmation of a bullish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region and more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 70.80-75.90 with stop loss at 75.90; targeting 70.10-69.00-68.40 and 67.00-65.90. Buy above 70.10-64.30 with risk daily closing below 64.30; targeting 70.90-71.50-72.40 and 73.50-74.10-75.00.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Thursday made an intraday low of US$1.0899/EUR, a high of US$1.10997/EUR, and settled the day down by 0.598 to close at US$1.0914/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 50DMA (1.0736), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0647. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode which will bring a bullish view. Stochastic is in overbought territory and giving positive crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.1090-1.1390, targeting 1.1050-1.0990-1.0960 and 1.0900- 1.0810-1.0750 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1032. Buy above 1.0950-1.0525 with risk below 1.0525 targeting 1.1090-1.1150 and 1.1200-1.1250.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Wednesday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2601/GBP, a high of US$1.2679/GBP, and settled the day up 0.038% to close at US$1.2623/GBP

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 200DMA (1.2112) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on RSI bases. The Stochastic Oscillator is in oversold territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm bullish a stance. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2525-1.2200 with a target of 1.2590-1.2640-1.2700 and 1.2745-1.2800-1.2890 with a stop loss closing below 1.2200. Sell in between 1.2590-1.2954 with targets at 1.2550-1.2490 and 1.2640-1.2590-1.2545 with stop loss should be 1.2954.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Thursday made an intra‐day low of JPY133.73/USD and made an intraday high of JPY134.84/USD and settled the day up by 0.104% at JPY134.41/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 200DMA (134.05), which is major support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and signaling to buy as it has given a positive crossover to confirm a bullish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 135.50-140.60 with risk above 140.60 targeting 137.00-136.20-134.90 and 134.00-132.90-132.20. Long positions above 134.90-130.00 with targets of 134.90-136.00-137.00 and 137.90-138.50-139.00 with stops below 130.00.