Daily Markets

• Crude prices rose for a third session on Wednesday as a halt to some exports from Iraqi Kurdistan raised concerns of tightening supplies and fears of a global banking crisis eased. Oil prices rallied this week after exports of 450,000 barrels per day (bpd) from Iraq's semi-autonomous northern Kurdistan region were halted, following an arbitration decision that confirmed Baghdad's consent was needed to ship the oil Barclays (LON:BARC) said on Tuesday any protracted outage of Kurdish exports through the end of the year would imply a $3 a barrel upside to its $92-a-barrel price forecast for Brent in 2023. Monday's announcement that First Citizens BancShares Inc will acquire failed Silicon Valley Bank also spurred optimism about the condition of the global banking sector. A drawdown in U.S. crude oil inventories last week also lent support. U.S. crude oil inventories fell by about 6.1 million barrels in the week ended on March 24, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Gasoline inventories fell by about 5.9 million barrels, while distillate stocks rose by about 550,000 barrels. Analysts had expected to hear that U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose last week, while distillate and gasoline inventories were seen down. The U.S. Energy Information Administration will release its weekly report at 10:30 a.m. (1430 GMT) on Wednesday. On the supply side, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Tuesday that Moscow needed to focus on boosting energy exports to so-called friendly countries and noted that Russian oil supply to India registered a 22-fold jump last year. Separately, worries about the sustainability of demand growth in China capped price gains as a Reuters poll on Wednesday showed that the country's factory activity expanded at a slower pace in March. Official data is expected on Friday.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Tuesday made it’s intraday high of US$1979.42/oz and low of $1943.93/oz. Gold is down by 1.103% at US$1956.25/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, prices are above 200DMA (1809) and breakage below will call for 1790. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are a2lso increasing trend and it will bring an upward stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is in the overbought region and more upside is expected before it gets stretched. The Stochastic Oscillator is in neutral territory and giving a negative crossover to a bearish stance for intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 1962-2020 keeping stop loss closing above 2020, targeting 1969-1950-1940 and 1933-1921-1910. Buy in between 1950-1900 with risk below 1900, targeting 1959-1969-1980 and 1990-2000-2009.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Tuesday made its intraday high of US$23.36/oz and low of US21.84/oz settled up by 1.119% at US$23.31/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining below 100DMA (21.00), breakage above will lead to 21.60. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are decreasing trend and it will bring a bearish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is approaching the neutral region, indicating a buy signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 22.60-18.30, targeting 23.00 and 24.40-25.00-25.90 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 18.00. Sell in between 23.00-26.20 with a stop loss above 26.20; targeting 22.05-21.60-21.00-20.05 and 19.90-19.50.

Oil - WTI

Crude Ol on Tuesday made an intra‐day high of US$73.94/bbl, an intraday low of US$72.22/bbl, and settled up by 1.006% to close at US$73.58/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining below its 200DMA i.e. 68.50 which is a support level and breakage below will call for 68.40. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral region, giving a positive crossover for confirmation of a bullish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region and more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 74.25-77.96 with stop loss at 77.96; targeting 73.00-72.25-71.70 and 70.90-70.30-69.75. Buy above 73.00-69.75 with risk daily closing below 69.00; targeting 74.25-75.00-76.00 and 77.10-77.96.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Monday made an intraday low of US$1.0744/EUR, a high of US$1.0799/EUR, and settled the day up by 0.201% to close at US$1.0796/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 50DMA (1.0736), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0647. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode which will bring a bullish view. Stochastic is in overbought territory and giving positive crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0900-1.1090, targeting 1.0750-1.0700-1.0650 and 1.0590-1.0520-1.0480 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1032. Buy above 1.0810-1.0450 with risk below 1.0450 targeting 1.0810-1.0890 and 1.0950-1.0990-1.1030.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Tuesday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2278/GBP, a high of US$1.2348/GBP, and settled the day up 0.440% to close at US$1.2340/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 200DMA (1.2112) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on RSI bases. The Stochastic Oscillator is in oversold territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm bullish a stance. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2290-1.2050 with a target of 1.2290-1.2340-1.2400-1.2445 and 1.2490-1.2545 with a stop loss closing below 1.2050. Sell in between 1.2290-1.2545 with targets at 1.2340-1.2240-1.2200 and 1.2170-1.2100-1.2050 with stop loss should be 1.2445.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Tuesday made an intra‐day low of JPY130.40/USD and made an intraday high of JPY131.55/USD and settled the day down by 0.529% at JPY130.83/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 200DMA (134.05), which is major support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and signaling to buy as it has given a positive crossover to confirm a bullish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 132.00-140.60 with risk above 140.60 targeting 131.40-130.60-130.00-129.40 and 128.90-128.00. Long positions above 132.00-128.00 with targets of 131.40-132.00-132.90 and 134.00-134.90-135.0 with stops below 130.00.