Daily Markets

• Oil prices fell on Tuesday after the U.S. government said it would release more crude from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) as mandated by lawmakers, defying expectations from some traders that the release could be cancelled or delayed. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) said after the previous session ended that it would sell 26 million barrels of oil from the SPR, a release that would likely push the reserve to its lowest level since 1983. The DOE had considered cancelling the fiscal year 2023 sale after U.S. President Joe Biden's administration last year sold a record 180 million barrels from the reserve. But that would have required Congress to act to change the mandate. Traders will be looking for clues from Tuesday's crucial U.S. consumer price index (CPI) data for January. U.S. monthly consumer prices rose in the previous two months instead of falling as previously estimated, raising the risk of higher inflation readings in the months ahead. Supply concerns also eased after the Energy Information Administration said it expected record March production from the seven biggest U.S. shale basins. Elsewhere, crude exports resumed at a key Turkish port after a devastating earthquake rocked the region.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Monday made it’s intraday high of US$1866.42/oz and low of $1850.36/oz. Gold is down by 0.605% at US$1853.30/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, prices are above 200DMA (1809) and breakage below will call for 1790. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are a2lso increasing trend and it will bring an upward stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is in the overbought region and more upside is expected before it gets stretched. The Stochastic Oscillator is in neutral territory and giving a negative crossover to a bearish stance for intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 1864-1918 keeping stop loss closing above 1918, targeting 1874-1865-1853 and 1837-1823-1815. Buy in between 1854-1,815 with risk below 1815, targeting 1887-1900-1910 and 1917-1927-1940.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Monday made its intraday high of US$21.78/oz and low of US21.78/oz settled down by 0.0681% at US$21.98/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining below 100DMA (21.00), breakage above will lead to 21.60. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are decreasing trend and it will bring a bearish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is approaching the neutral region, indicating a buy signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 22.25-20.30, targeting 24.40-25.00-25.90 and 26.20-26.90 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 20.30. Sell in between 23.00-26.20 with stop loss above 26.20; targeting 23.60-23.00-22.10 and 21.70-21.30-20.70.

Oil - WTI

Crude Oil on Monday made an intra‐day high of US$80.72/bbl, an intraday low of US$78.62/bbl, and settled down by 0.940% to close at US$79.32/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining above its 20DMA i.e. 68.50 which is a support level and breakage below will call for 65.40. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral region, giving a positive crossover for confirmation of a bullish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region and more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 79.55-83.40 with stop loss at 83.40; targeting 78.10-77.00-76.10 and 75.50-74.90. Buy above 78.90-72.00 with risk daily closing below 72.00; targeting 78.95-79.65-80.10.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Monday made an intraday low of US$1.0654/EUR, a high of US$1.0729/EUR, and settled the day up by 0.360% to close at US$1.0717/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 50DMA (1.0736), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0647. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode which will bring a bullish view. Stochastic is in overbought territory and giving positive crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0750-1.1100, targeting 1.0830-1.0790-1.0690 and 1.0650-1.0590-1.0520 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1100. Buy above 1.0690-1.0510 with risk below 1.0820 targeting 1.0900-1.0945-1.0990 and 1.1050-1.1100.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Monday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2029/GBP, a high of US$1.2151/GBP, and settled the day up 0.592% to close at US$1.2133/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 20DMA (1.21) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on RSI bases. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm bullish a stance. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2050-1.1750 with a target of 1.2120-1.2170-1.2290 and 1.2390-1.2440-1.2490 with a stop loss closing below 1.1750. Sell in between 1.2100-1.2650 with targets at 1.2090-1.2040-1.1990 and 1.1900-1.1820-1.1750 with stop loss should be 1.2445.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Monday made an intra‐day low of JPY131.19/USD and made an intraday high of JPY132.90/USD and settled the day up by 0.871% at JPY132.35/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 200DMA (108.30), which is initial support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in neutral territory and signaling to sell as it has given a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 132.0-135.10 with risk above 133.00 targeting 129.50-129.00-127.45 and 126.90-126.20-125.00. Long positions above 129.50-126.20 with targets of 130.40 and 131.10-131.60-132.00 with stops below 130.00.