Daily Markets

• Oil edged lower on Tuesday on expectations that further interest rate hikes in the United States, the world's biggest oil user, will slow economic growth and limit fuel demand. Both benchmarks climbed 1% on Monday, after China, the world's biggest oil importer and second-largest consumer, opened its borders over the weekend for the first time in three years. Fed policymakers said fresh inflation data out later this week will help them decide whether they can slow the pace of interest rate hikes at their upcoming meeting, to just a quarter point increase instead of the larger jumps they used for most of 2022. China also issued a second batch of 2023 crude import quotas, according to sources and documents reviewquarter-point on Monday, raising the total for this year by 20% from the same time last year. But analysts warned that China's demand revival may play limited role to drive up oil prices under the global economic downward pressure. Separately, U.S. crude oil stockpiles likely fell 2.4 million barrels, with distillate inventories also seen slightly down, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday. Industry group American Petroleum Institute is due to release data on U.S. crude inventories at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday. The Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, will release its own figures at 10:30 a.m. (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Monday made it’s intraday high of US$1881.45/oz and low of $1866.29/oz. Gold is up by 0.220% at US$1871.57/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, prices are above 200DMA (1809) and breakage below will call for 1790. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are a2lso increasing trend and it will bring an upward stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is in the overbought region and more upside is expected before it gets stretched. The Stochastic Oscillator is in neutral territory and giving a negative crossover to a bearish stance for intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 1879-1927 keeping stop loss closing above 1927, targeting 1869-1860-1849 and 1834-1826-1808. Buy in between 1869-1800 with risk below 1800, targeting 1,879-1887-1900 and 1907-1927.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Monday made its intraday high of US$24.09/oz and low of US23.57/oz settled down by 0.946% at US$23.64/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining below 100DMA (21.00), breakage above will lead to 21.60. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are decreasing trend and it will bring a bearish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is approaching the neutral region, indicating a buy signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 23.90-20.30, targeting 24.40-25.00-25.90 and 26.20-26.90 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 20.30. Sell in between 24.40-26.20 with stop loss above 26.20; targeting 23.60-23.00-22.10 and 21.70-21.30-20.70.

Oil - WTI

Crude Oil on Monday made an intra‐day high of US$76.88/bbl, an intraday low of US$73.88/bbl, and settled up by 1.528% to close at US$75.08/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining above its 20DMA i.e. 68.50 which is a support level and breakage below will call for 65.40. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the neutral region, giving a positive crossover for confirmation of a bullish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region and more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 75.20-81.40 with stop loss at 81.40; targeting 75.20-74.10-72.90 and 72.10-71.40-70.10. Buy above 74.10-70.10 with risk daily closing below 70.10; targeting 76.10-77.00-78.10 and 79.00-79.90-80.70.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Monday made an intraday low of US$1.0637/EUR, a high of US$1.06762/EUR, and settled the day up by 0.823% to close at US$1.0727/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 50DMA (1.0736), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0647. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode which will bring a bullish view. Stochastic is in overbought territory and giving positive crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0690-1.0930, targeting 1.0650-1.0590-1.0520 and 1.0450-1.0390-1.0325 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.0940. Buy above 1.0650-1.0390 with risk below 1.0390 targeting 1.0690-1.0735-1.0790 and 1.0830-1.0900.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Monday made an intra‐day low of US$1.2075/GBP, a high of US$1.2209/GBP, and settled the day up 0.867% to close at US$1.2180/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining below 20DMA (1.2113) is becoming a resistance level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on RSI bases. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm bullish a stance. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.1890-1.0640 with a target of 1.1950-1.1990-1.2090 and 1.2120-1.2170-1.2280 with a stop loss closing below 1.0640. Sell in between 1.1950-1.2290 with targets at 1.1890-1.0850-1.0800 and 1.0730-1.1640 with stop loss should be 1.2290.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Monday made an intra‐day low of JPY131.30/USD and made an intraday high of JPY132.65/USD and settled the day up by 0.0128% at JPY131.88/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 200DMA (108.30), which is initial support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in neutral territory and signaling to sell as it has given a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 134.90-138.00 with risk above 138.00 targeting 134.10-132.90-131.90 and 131.10-130.40-129.50. Long positions above 134.10-130.00 with targets of 134.90-135.70-136.90 and 137.70-139.50 with stops below 130.00.